Analysis: Rallies Galore As Virginia Goes Down To The Wire | WAMU 88.5 - American University Radio

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Analysis: Rallies Galore As Virginia Goes Down To The Wire

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In the final hours before Election Day, presidential and U.S. Senate campaigns continue events across the battleground of Virginia. It's an illustration of just how important Virginia results could be tomorrow evening — and just how close key races continue to be. David Hawkings, editor of the CQ Roll Call Daily Briefing, joins WAMU Morning Edition host Matt McCleskey with a look ahead.

On what to expect from the presidential campaigns in Virginia in these final hours: "We're guaranteed to get four visits today — two from the Vice President and two from Mitt Romney. Mr and Mrs. Biden are coming to Sterling, Va. just after noon. And then the big climactic rally for Joe Biden is at the American Civil War Center down in Richmond, Va. Meanwhile, Mitt Romney is spending two of his four rallies in our area. And then he will be at George Mason at 3:15 p.m. So that is as good an indication as any as how both sides are going after Virginia right until the end. The most recent poll shows the President slightly ahead, but within the margin of error. The average of the recent polls shows the same thing — Virginia is absolutely crucial for Mitt Romney's electoral college map."

On the U.S. Senate candidates — Democrat Tim Kaine and Republican George Allen: "It's also down to the wire. The tactics are complicated and furiously complicated. Most prognosticators say that Gov. Kaine has the slightest of edges over George Allen. Some people are seeing it will depend on where the two Presidential candidates turn out the bulk of their votes. The super-simplistic geography is that Northern Virginia is absolutely crucial for the Democrats to turn out as many of their voters as possible. That's where President Obama wants to carry the state and get Tim Kaine across the line. Meanwhile, the coal country — a huge turnout is what the Romney folks are working on. I continue to see the Hampton Roads, Norfolk area as the deciding region of the state."

On the races in Maryland to be watched tomorrow: There's really only one where there's any suspense at the congressional level. Ben Cardin is going to be reelected to the Senate with some ease, especially because he is being opposed by two people with an equal amount of resources — an independent and a Republican. The only congressional house race where this any suspense continues to be the one that comes down into Montgomery County — the newly-drawn district that meanders down, close to the District line. Roscoe Bartlett, a Republican, from the pan-handle has been forced to run in a much more Democratic territory against the investment banker Tom Delaney, a Democrat. We at CQ Roll Call we have that Delaney-favored, but not a lock. It means that an upset is still possible. One poll has showed a statistical tie, but our view is that the demographics of this district in which they are both running favors a win by Delaney."

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